TY - JOUR
T1 - Boosting energy harvesting via deep learning-based renewable power generation prediction
AU - Khan, Zulfiqar Ahmad
AU - Hussain, Tanveer
AU - Baik, Sung Wook
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 The Authors
PY - 2022/4/30
Y1 - 2022/4/30
N2 - The high-level variation of different energy generation resources makes the reliable power supply significantly challenging to end-users. These variations occur due to the intermittent nature of energy output and time-varying weather conditions. The recent literature focuses on the improvements in power generation and consumption forecasting, which is a demand of the current smart grids’ smooth operations with a balanced amount of energy generation and consumption for the connected customers. Inspired by the applications of load forecasting, therefore, in this work, we develop an efficient and effective hybrid model for power generation and consumption forecasting, thereby contributing to energy harvesting by providing valuable prediction data to the concerned renewable energy analysts. Herein, we integrate a convolutional neural network with an echo state network for robust renewable energy generation and consumption forecasting. The convolutional network is used to extract meaningful patterns from the historical data which is then forwarded to the echo state network for temporal features learning. The output spatiotemporal feature vector is then fed to fully connected layers for final forecasting. The proposed hybrid model is derived after extensive experiments over machine and deep learning models, where the results indicate that the proposed model substantially decreases the forecasting errors using RMSE, MSE, NRMSE, and MAE metrics, when compared to state-of-the-art models and acts as a paradigm towards energy equilibrium between production resources and consumers.
AB - The high-level variation of different energy generation resources makes the reliable power supply significantly challenging to end-users. These variations occur due to the intermittent nature of energy output and time-varying weather conditions. The recent literature focuses on the improvements in power generation and consumption forecasting, which is a demand of the current smart grids’ smooth operations with a balanced amount of energy generation and consumption for the connected customers. Inspired by the applications of load forecasting, therefore, in this work, we develop an efficient and effective hybrid model for power generation and consumption forecasting, thereby contributing to energy harvesting by providing valuable prediction data to the concerned renewable energy analysts. Herein, we integrate a convolutional neural network with an echo state network for robust renewable energy generation and consumption forecasting. The convolutional network is used to extract meaningful patterns from the historical data which is then forwarded to the echo state network for temporal features learning. The output spatiotemporal feature vector is then fed to fully connected layers for final forecasting. The proposed hybrid model is derived after extensive experiments over machine and deep learning models, where the results indicate that the proposed model substantially decreases the forecasting errors using RMSE, MSE, NRMSE, and MAE metrics, when compared to state-of-the-art models and acts as a paradigm towards energy equilibrium between production resources and consumers.
KW - Convolutional neural network
KW - Deep learning
KW - Echo state network
KW - Hybrid model
KW - Micro grid
KW - Renewable energy
KW - Solar energy
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U2 - 10.1016/j.jksus.2021.101815
DO - 10.1016/j.jksus.2021.101815
M3 - Article (journal)
AN - SCOPUS:85123349908
SN - 1018-3647
VL - 34
SP - 1
EP - 11
JO - Journal of King Saud University - Science
JF - Journal of King Saud University - Science
IS - 3
M1 - 101815
ER -